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Satyam: Is it the complete truth?
Deborshi Chaki
Published on Wednesday, 07 Jan 2009 at 21:01 1ST in News » India

Tags: Satyam, Raju, fraud, Maytas
Satyam: Is it the complete truth?
Deborshi Chaki Deborshi Chaki is Assistant Editor - News Coordination at UTVi.

As the Satyam saga unfolds in the days to come, the critical aspects of corporate India's frauds will hopefully be out in the open. For now, several questions remain unanswered.

First, what compelled Satyam founder Ramalinga Raju to fudge the company book in the first place? Raju founded the company in 1987, and since then has steered it to become India’s fourth largest IT firm with a star-studded clientele that includes world’s largest steel maker Arcelor Mittal and Japanese car maker Nissan Motor among others.

In his latter written to the company board, Raju admits that the fraud started several years ago but offers no explanation as to why it began? Raju goes on to add further that neither he nor any member of the promoter group made any gains from the wrong doing.

So, there can be only two plausible explanations. One, he did this in the company's heydays to enhance stock value and use it to leverage funds to run and expand Satyam Computer.

Two, Raju is not saying the complete truth... there could be further wrong doing including insider trading.

WHY DIDN'T HE GO THE WHOLE HOG?

The second question is why did Raju not go the whole hog for the cover up? It's pretty clear now that the Maytas acquisition was a cover-up and the logic has turned out to be rather simple. Satyam’s books had over Rs 5,000 crore of non-existent cash, which he needed to dispose off to set records straight. So, he announced plans to buy two real estate firms Maytas Infra and Maytas Properties run by his sons. Both companies were collectively valued to match Satyam’s inflated cash reserves. Had the transaction gone ahead, excess cash would have been replaced by real assets.

Clearly, the acquisition did raise a lot of hue and cry but, technically, it could not have stopped Raju from going ahead with the acquisitions.... but he didn’t. Why? Was the widespread criticism and decline in stock and ADR prices post the botched acquisition announcement that stopped him? But wasn't Raju already in bigger trouble already?

WHY DID HE CONFESS?

Was it fear of a hostile takeover or fear of investigations into its books that made Raju finally confess? One theory is that Raju feared that in the event of take over, the truth would have come out in the open. A take over would have entailed due diligence and truth about non-existent cash reserves would have come out... but that's only a theory. In the past few days, Satyam’s investors like Aberdeen had endorsed Raju as best suited to lead the company in the medium-term. So, clearly, Raju was not out of lifelines, and could have continued for a while till he found a way to clean his books or someone discovered his con act. So, why did Raju choose to turn himself in now?

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Joseph (Jan 13, 2009)
Where does PwC fit in? How did they ignore what was going on? I am reminded of Enron and Arthur Andersen.
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balasubramanian.g (Jan 12, 2009)
To me it appears Mr.Ramalingaraju ran out of options. Fudging was no further possible. Once Maytas deal was off there was not much to fall back upon. World Bank’s statement and its refusal to recant meant the game was up. A hostile take over would have been a hell. He too was in the same catch22 situation like Mr.Madoff.With no cash to pay the better option was to own up and get it condoned on other merits.
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Sam (Jan 09, 2009)
What is the truth in Satyam’ s fiasco? January 9th 2009 Is Ramalinga Raju telling the truth? I doubt it, the reality could be he wanted to get out of IT services and invest that money into Maytas Infra ( Realty) The balance sheet, books etc were all true (everyting is being falsified now), so big people (big investors, promoters, all the vested groups can get out of the stock). It is all understood between all these parties so to get a pie of out of this big money and big business…………. Why did the stock go up on 6th Jan 2009 when the Chairman had resigned? Why was media flashing news of fraud and equivalent to Enron when the stock came down to sub80 levels? In October 2008 The finance minister asked investors to stay put in the stock market!!!!!!!Since October 2008 the midcaps, smallcaps crashed more than 60%, In Satyam,s case one of the media journalists asked investors to stay put at 50rs level so that they can exit at higher levels stating the P/E multiple was close to zero, why do you impound such messages and make more trouble for small investors………. Isnt the media equally responsible for small investors plight? In the past few market crashes I lost money I fouled cry with the regulators stating the brokers are responsible and need to be investigated……….none of them took any action. I have several correspondences from NSE acting as postman rather than as appropriate governing body? In my opinion the perpetrators of fraud are the exchanges(NSE,BSE), Regulators(SEBI), and lastly Media rather than the companies in question? In Satyam’s case if the regulators had suspended the stock from trading, then many investors would have been saved from investing, trading in that company. There is no law in India and lawkeepers are the most corrupt and always gets to be what they wish and keep accumulating wealth!!! Please think and act!!! Who should be jailed? Mr.RamalingaRaju for telling the truth? Or the perpetrators of fraud?
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M.Bajaj (Jan 08, 2009) abused
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M.Bajaj (Jan 08, 2009)
Is it possible that he is lying now so that stock prices can come down and some other compn or individual withwhom he has a deal can acqire a majority of stock at a low price. The new majority sharholding pany may now declare that there is really some cash and the sotck price will go up gaian.. or even the new company may just have used the cash to buy back these shares
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Manjunath (Jan 08, 2009)
if so he should be awarded with noble prize in the field of psychology for proper analysis /understanding global investors panic.
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Suryakant Raithatha (Jan 08, 2009)
The Property/Assets/ Banks Balance etc.of Mr Raju and Family should be seized. He should be on road like ordinary man then he should realize the money value of common man
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Mohd.Saiful Islam (Jan 08, 2009)
Had raju been successful to buy Maytas he could have managed things to save Satyam .
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